-There is Always a " 3rd possibility"- that We never think about ( until it is TOO Late ). I'm betting- on THAT One !! :o
The disaster has already struck California. It is a financial disaster. Right now, I seriously doubt if we could even GIVE California to Mexico. ( Naturally, California's debt is part of the gift.)
Probably the earthquake. Or like Zack said, Bankruptcy.
The election of a Republican who toadies to the Tea Party.
Mass bankruptcy.
The ark storm or the big one (earth quake)